The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 SEC Championship Game

Closes
Dec 6, 2026, in 21 days
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Georgia Bulldogs 92.8%

Next is Texas Longhorns at 51.5%. The venues differ most on Kentucky Wildcats (Polymarket 50.5%, Kalshi 1%), a 50-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Georgia Bulldogs
92.8%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 94%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Bulldogs
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 92¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Texas Longhorns
51.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 36s agoKalshi 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Longhorns
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Texas
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 53¢.

Alabama Crimson Tide
49%
Polymarket 50%polled, 36s agoKalshi 48%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama Crimson Tide
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alabama
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Tennessee Volunteers
42.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 36s agoKalshi 35%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee Volunteers
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 35¢.

Kentucky Wildcats
25.8%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky Wildcats
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Ole Miss Rebels
24%
Polymarket 45%polled, 36s agoKalshi 3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ole Miss Rebels
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Oklahoma Sooners
20.6%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 36s agoKalshi 19%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma Sooners
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 51¢.

South Carolina Gamecocks
14.3%
Polymarket 12.3%polled, 36s agoKalshi 15%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Carolina Gamecocks
Last price
12.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$408 (4.08x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$610
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Missouri Tigers
10.4%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 36s agoKalshi 11%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri Tigers
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Missouri
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$487
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Auburn
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Auburn
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$322
Trade this on Kalshi
LSU Tigers
3.4%
Polymarket 10.8%polled, 36s agoKalshi 1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
LSU Tigers
Last price
10.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$465 (4.65x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LSU
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Florida
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florida
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$491
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: 6 differences

Where they differ

  • Polymarket resolves No early once a team is mathematically eliminated; Kalshi has no stated early-resolution rule and resolves on qualification, though the result is the same.
  • Polymarket resolves all outcomes No if the game is cancelled, or postponed past Jan 15, 2027, or the matchup is undeclared by then; Kalshi states no such fallback.
  • Polymarket names SEC official information as the source, with credible reporting as a possible fallback; Kalshi names no source in its rules.
  • Kalshi's rules are minimal: no deadline, no handling of cancellation, and no definition of 'qualifies'. Polymarket's listing says 'advance'.
  • Each venue lists outcomes the other does not (Kalshi: Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Mississippi St., Texas A&M, Vanderbilt in the shared rules; Polymarket lists fewer in its outcomes). These are not linked.
  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 6, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 3, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Polymarket resolves No early once a team is mathematically eliminated; Kalshi has no stated early-resolution rule and resolves on qualification, though the result is the same.
  • Polymarket resolves all outcomes No if the game is cancelled, or postponed past Jan 15, 2027, or the matchup is undeclared by then; Kalshi states no such fallback.
  • Polymarket names SEC official information as the source, with credible reporting as a possible fallback; Kalshi names no source in its rules.
  • Kalshi's rules are minimal: no deadline, no handling of cancellation, and no definition of 'qualifies'. Polymarket's listing says 'advance'.
  • Each venue lists outcomes the other does not (Kalshi: Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Mississippi St., Texas A&M, Vanderbilt in the shared rules; Polymarket lists fewer in its outcomes). These are not linked.
  • Trading closes Dec 6, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 3, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Georgia Bulldogs
  • Texas Longhorns
  • Alabama Crimson Tide

Live prices for Georgia Bulldogs

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 SEC Championship Game". Georgia Bulldogs leads at 92.8%. Next is Texas Longhorns at 51.5%. $30K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 SEC Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 SEC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 SEC Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 SEC Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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