The Prediction Markets

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Starts in 1 h 43 minKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 72%

Next is Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 63%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Match O/U 21.5
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Match O/U 22.5
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Set 1 Winner
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Set 2 Winner
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Match O/U 23.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5)
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (-1.5) vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (+1.5)
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
  • Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
  • Completed Match

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg". Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg leads at 72%. Next is Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 63%. $3K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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