The Prediction Markets

Norway vs Wales

Starts in 6 daysKickoff
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Norway 79.4%

Next is Norway 0 - 5 Wales at 25%. The venues differ most on Wales (Polymarket 7.5%, Kalshi 9%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Norway
79.4%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 79¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 79¢.

Norway 0 - 5 Wales
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 0 - 5 Wales
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 1 - 5 Wales
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 1 - 5 Wales
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 2 - 5 Wales
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 2 - 5 Wales
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 3 - 5 Wales
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 3 - 5 Wales
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 5 - 4 Wales
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 5 - 4 Wales
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 0 - 2 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 0 - 2 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 0 - 3 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 0 - 3 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 0 - 4 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 0 - 4 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 1 - 3 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 1 - 3 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 31 more outcomes
Norway 1 - 4 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 1 - 4 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 2 - 4 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 2 - 4 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 4 - 0 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 4 - 0 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 4 - 1 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 4 - 1 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 4 - 2 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 4 - 2 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 5 - 0 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 5 - 0 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 5 - 1 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 5 - 1 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 5 - 2 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 5 - 2 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 5 - 3 Wales
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 5 - 3 Wales
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 3 - 3 Wales
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 3 - 3 Wales
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 2 - 3 Wales
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 2 - 3 Wales
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 4 - 4 Wales
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 4 - 4 Wales
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 5 - 5 Wales
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 5 - 5 Wales
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 2 - 2 Wales
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 2 - 2 Wales
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 3 - 4 Wales
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 3 - 4 Wales
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Any Other Score
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 3 - 2 Wales
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 3 - 2 Wales
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Norway vs. Wales)
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Norway vs. Wales)
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 4 - 5 Wales
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 4 - 5 Wales
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tie
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway 4 - 3 Wales
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 4 - 3 Wales
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 2 - 0 Wales
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 2 - 0 Wales
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 3 - 0 Wales
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 3 - 0 Wales
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Wales
8.6%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wales
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$343
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.

Norway 1 - 0 Wales
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 1 - 0 Wales
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 2 - 1 Wales
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 2 - 1 Wales
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 3 - 1 Wales
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 3 - 1 Wales
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 1 - 1 Wales
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 1 - 1 Wales
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 0 - 1 Wales
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 0 - 1 Wales
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 1 - 2 Wales
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 1 - 2 Wales
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Norway 0 - 0 Wales
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Norway 0 - 0 Wales
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Norway
  • Norway 0 - 5 Wales
  • Norway 1 - 5 Wales

Live prices for Norway

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Norway vs Wales". Norway leads at 79.4%. Next is Norway 0 - 5 Wales at 25%. $45K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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