The Prediction Markets

OBOS-ligaen (Norway): Team promoted to Norway Eliteserien (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 52 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Haugesund 83.5%

Next is Strømsgodset at 57.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Haugesund
83.5%
Polymarket 83.5%polled, 28s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Haugesund
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
67¢
Volume
$149
Trade this on Polymarket
Strømsgodset
57.2%
Polymarket 57.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strømsgodset
Last price
57.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
14.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$349
Trade this on Polymarket
Bryne
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryne
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Egersund
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Egersund
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Hødd
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hødd
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kongsvinger
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kongsvinger
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Odd
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Odd
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Stabæk
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stabæk
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Strømmen
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strømmen
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
sane
47.9%
Polymarket 47.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 95.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
sane
Last price
47.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Ranheim
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ranheim
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyn
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyn
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Raufoss
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Raufoss
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Sandnes Ulf
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sandnes Ulf
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Sogndal
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sogndal
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Moss
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Moss
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Haugesund
  • Strømsgodset
  • Bryne

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "OBOS-ligaen (Norway): Team promoted to Norway Eliteserien (2026)". Haugesund leads at 83.5%. Next is Strømsgodset at 57.2%. $2K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the OBOS-ligaen (Norway) to the Norway Eliteserien for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Norway Eliteserien for the 2027 season through their final standing in the OBOS-ligaen (Norway), via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the OBOS-ligaen (Norway) and Norway Eliteserien. If the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the OBOS-ligaen (Norway) and Norway Eliteserien. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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