The Prediction Markets

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11

Closed
Oct 12, 2026
Traded
$35K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 17 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 162 T tokens
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 162 T tokens
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 166 T tokens
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 166 T tokens
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 168 T tokens
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 168 T tokens
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 164 T tokens
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 164 T tokens
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 170 T tokens
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 170 T tokens
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 182 T tokens
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 182 T tokens
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 176 T tokens
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 176 T tokens
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 180 T tokens
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 180 T tokens
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 184 T tokens
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 184 T tokens
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$512
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 186 T tokens
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 186 T tokens
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$769
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Above 172 T tokens
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 172 T tokens
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 178 T tokens
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 178 T tokens
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$894
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 188 T tokens
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 188 T tokens
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 174 T tokens
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 411 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 174 T tokens
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 17 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 162 T tokens
  • Above 166 T tokens
  • Above 168 T tokens

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11". Above 162 T tokens last traded at 62%. Next is Above 166 T tokens at 39%. $35K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More crypto markets

See all crypto markets