The Prediction Markets

Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier

Starts in 2 h 24 minKickoff
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Daniel Altmaier 70%

Next is Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 at 60%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Daniel Altmaier
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Altmaier
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Match O/U 21.5
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Match O/U 22.5
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Daniel Altmaier (-1.5) vs Buvaysar Gadamauri (+1.5)
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Set 1 Winner
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Buvaysar Gadamauri
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Buvaysar Gadamauri (-1.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+1.5)
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Daniel Altmaier
  • Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5
  • Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Daniel Altmaier for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier". Daniel Altmaier leads at 70%. Next is Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5 at 60%. $4K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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