The Prediction Markets

Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet

Starts in 28 hKickoff
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Ugo Blanchet 64%

Next is Completed Match at 55%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Ugo Blanchet
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Blanchet
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet Set 1 Winner
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Ugo Blanchet (-1.5) vs Buvaysar Gadamauri (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet Match O/U 23.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Buvaysar Gadamauri (-1.5) vs Ugo Blanchet (+1.5)
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet Match O/U 21.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Buvaysar Gadamauri
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ugo Blanchet
  • Completed Match
  • Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Ugo Blanchet for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet". Ugo Blanchet leads at 64%. Next is Completed Match at 55%. $5K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Ugo Blanchet in the Orleans, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Ugo Blanchet. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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