The Prediction Markets

Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel

Starts in 3 h 42 minKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5 78.5%

Next is Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 71%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
78.5%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$389
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set 1 Winner
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Match O/U 21.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Match O/U 22.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Match O/U 23.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Game Spread +/-4.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
  • Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5
  • Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel". Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads at 78.5%. Next is Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 71%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Cosme de Ravel in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Cosme de Ravel. This market will resolve to 'Cosme de Ravel' if Cosme de Ravel advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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