The Prediction Markets

Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch

Starts in 7 hKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Tom Gentzsch 73%

Next is Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch at 67%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Tom Gentzsch
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Gentzsch
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Game Spread +/-2.5
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 21.5
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 22.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 Winner
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Max Houkes
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Max Houkes
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 23.5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$820
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tom Gentzsch
  • Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
  • Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Tom Gentzsch for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch". Tom Gentzsch leads at 73%. Next is Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch at 67%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Tom Gentzsch in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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