The Prediction Markets

Poljak vs Chung

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Yun Seong Chung 79%

Next is Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner at 62.5%. The venues differ most on Poljak (Polymarket 19.5%, Kalshi 22%), a 2.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 23 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Yun Seong Chung
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yun Seong Chung
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Kalshi
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
25¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: David Poljak (-1.5) vs Yunseong Chung (+1.5)
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Match O/U 21.5
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Match O/U 23.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Match O/U 22.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Yunseong Chung (-1.5) vs David Poljak (+1.5)
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Poljak
20.4%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 41s agoKalshi 22%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Poljak
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$711
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 23 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 20¢ and selling on Kalshi at 21¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Indicative gap, prices are 23 min old: Poljak asks 20¢ on Polymarket and bids 21¢ on Kalshi (100 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 22, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 29, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Yun Seong Chung
  • Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner
  • Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Yun Seong Chung for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Poljak vs Chung". Yun Seong Chung leads at 79%. Next is Kobe: David Poljak vs Yunseong Chung Set 1 Winner at 62.5%. $2K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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