The Prediction Markets

Primera Nacional (Argentina): Team promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina) (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 57 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Godoy Cruz 59%

Next is Almirante Brown at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Godoy Cruz
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Godoy Cruz
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Almirante Brown
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Almirante Brown
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlanta
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ciudad de Bolívar
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ciudad de Bolívar
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Colegiales
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colegiales
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Colón
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colón
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Madryn
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Madryn
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Maipú
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Maipú
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Morón
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Morón
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Estudiantes (Caseros)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Estudiantes (Caseros)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 26 more outcomes
Ferro Carril Oeste
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferro Carril Oeste
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ferrocarril Midland
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferrocarril Midland
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing (Córdoba)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing (Córdoba)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
San Martín (San Juan)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Martín (San Juan)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Temperley
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Temperley
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tristán Suárez
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tristán Suárez
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Agropecuario
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Agropecuario
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Central Norte
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Central Norte
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Patronato
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patronato
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Defensores de Belgrano
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Defensores de Belgrano
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Güemes
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Güemes
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Acassuso
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Acassuso
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Chaco For Ever
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chaco For Ever
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Mitre (Santiago del Estero)
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mitre (Santiago del Estero)
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Nueva Chicago
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nueva Chicago
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Chacarita Juniors
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chacarita Juniors
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Andes
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Andes
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Quilmes
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Quilmes
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
San Martín (Tucumán)
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Martín (Tucumán)
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
All Boys
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
All Boys
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Almagro
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Almagro
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético de Rafaela
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético de Rafaela
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
San Miguel
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Miguel
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
San Telmo
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Telmo
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Godoy Cruz
  • Almirante Brown
  • Atlanta

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Primera Nacional (Argentina): Team promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina) (2026)". Godoy Cruz leads at 59%. Next is Almirante Brown at 49.5%. $2K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the Primera Nacional (Argentina) to the Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2027 season through their final standing in the Primera Nacional (Argentina), via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Primera Nacional (Argentina) and Liga Profesional (Argentina). If the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Primera Nacional (Argentina) and Liga Profesional (Argentina). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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