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What the markets expect
Boston 65%
Next is San Antonio at 65%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Boston65%65%58¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 2 h ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Boston65%Kalshi 65%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Boston
65%
65%
58¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Boston
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $375
San Antonio65%65%57¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 2 h ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)San Antonio65%Kalshi 65%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
San Antonio
65%
65%
57¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
San Antonio
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $631
Detroit60%60%56¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 2 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Detroit60%Kalshi 60%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Detroit
60%
60%
56¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Detroit
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Oklahoma City59%59%51¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 2 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Oklahoma City59%Kalshi 59%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Oklahoma City
59%
59%
51¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Oklahoma City
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $930
Minnesota56%56%49¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 2 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Minnesota56%Kalshi 56%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Minnesota
56%
56%
49¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Minnesota
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $228
Philadelphia55%55%50¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 2 h ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Philadelphia55%Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Philadelphia
55%
55%
50¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Philadelphia
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $376
Orlando46%46%46¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 2 h ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Orlando46%Kalshi 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Orlando
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Orlando
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $1
Denver43%43%43¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 2 h ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Denver43%Kalshi 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Denver
43%
43%
43¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Denver
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $1
Dallas39%39%32¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 2 h ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Dallas39%Kalshi 39%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Dallas
39%
39%
32¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Dallas
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $188
Atlanta32%32%28¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 2 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Atlanta32%Kalshi 32%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Atlanta
32%
32%
28¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Atlanta
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Houston32%32%24¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 2 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Houston32%Kalshi 32%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Houston
32%
32%
24¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Houston
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $228
Portland29.5%29.5%25¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 2 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Portland29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Portland
29.5%
29.5%
25¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Portland
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Cleveland28%28%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 2 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Cleveland28%Kalshi 28%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Cleveland
28%
28%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Cleveland
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $24
Miami28%28%24¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 2 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Miami28%Kalshi 28%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Miami
28%
28%
24¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Miami
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Golden State26%26%24¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 2 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Golden State26%Kalshi 26%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Golden State
26%
26%
24¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Golden State
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $376
Memphis25%25%17¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 2 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Memphis25%Kalshi 25%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Memphis
25%
25%
17¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Memphis
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $594
Washington25%25%23¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 2 h ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Washington25%Kalshi 25%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Washington
25%
25%
23¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Washington
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $981
New York22%22%15¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 2 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)New York22%Kalshi 22%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
New York
22%
22%
15¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
New York
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $21
Toronto22%22%18¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 2 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Toronto22%Kalshi 22%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Toronto
22%
22%
18¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Toronto
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Los Angeles L16%16%9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 2 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Los Angeles L16%Kalshi 16%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Los Angeles L
16%
16%
9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Los Angeles L
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $264
New Orleans13%13%6¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)New Orleans13%Kalshi 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
New Orleans
13%
13%
6¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
New Orleans
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $63
Charlotte10%10%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Charlotte10%Kalshi 10%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Charlotte
10%
10%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Charlotte
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1
Utah8%8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Utah8%Kalshi 8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Utah
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Utah
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Milwaukee6%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Milwaukee6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Sacramento6%6%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Sacramento6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Sacramento
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Sacramento
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Indiana5%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Indiana5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Indiana
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Indiana
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Phoenix5%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Phoenix5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Phoenix
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Phoenix
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Chicago4%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Chicago4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chicago
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chicago
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles C3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Los Angeles C3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Los Angeles C
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Los Angeles C
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Brooklyn3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Brooklyn3%Kalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Brooklyn
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Brooklyn
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Boston
- San Antonio
- Detroit
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds Qualifiers". Boston leads at 65%. Next is San Antonio at 65%. $6K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 14, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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