The Prediction Markets

Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Qualifiers

Closes
Jul 7, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Detroit Pistons 42%

Next is New York Knicks at 41.3%. The venues differ most on Indiana Pacers (Polymarket 50%, Kalshi 6%), a 44-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Detroit Pistons
42%
Polymarket 48%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 32%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

New York Knicks
41.3%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 35%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Philadelphia 76ers
41.2%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 45%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$953
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Boston Celtics
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 40%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$544
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Boston
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Washington Wizards
36.2%
Polymarket 45.6%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
45.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
84.9¢
Sell Yes
6.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$459
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Cleveland Cavaliers
30.3%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 13%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Atlanta Hawks
29.8%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 9.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Indiana Pacers
28%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Toronto Raptors
17.5%
Polymarket 18%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 16%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toronto
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Orlando Magic
15%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 5.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 5 more outcomes
Miami Heat
9%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Charlotte Hornets
7.5%
Polymarket 10.4%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 4.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
10.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
19.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$505 (5.05x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Milwaukee Bucks
3.4%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$572
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Milwaukee
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$152
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Brooklyn Nets
2.7%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brooklyn
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Chicago Bulls
2.6%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Venue prices are 3 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: 5 differences

Where they differ

  • Polymarket resolves No if the playoffs are cancelled or postponed past June 30, 2027, or if ECF matchups are not declared by then. Kalshi's rules give no fallback for this case.
  • Polymarket names NBA official information as the resolution source, with credible reporting also allowed. Kalshi's rules name no source.
  • Polymarket resolves No as soon as a team is eliminated, while Kalshi's rules only state the qualification condition. Both should pay the same in ordinary scenarios.
  • Kalshi's rules do not state an expiry or deadline. Its end date is 2027-07-07, versus Polymarket's 2027-05-25 end date and June 30 fallback. This does not matter if the ECF participants are set by late May.
  • Kalshi uses the season label '2026-27 Pro Basketball' and city names, while Polymarket uses '2027 NBA Playoffs' and full team names. These refer to the same teams and edition.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Polymarket resolves No if the playoffs are cancelled or postponed past June 30, 2027, or if ECF matchups are not declared by then. Kalshi's rules give no fallback for this case.
  • Polymarket names NBA official information as the resolution source, with credible reporting also allowed. Kalshi's rules name no source.
  • Polymarket resolves No as soon as a team is eliminated, while Kalshi's rules only state the qualification condition. Both should pay the same in ordinary scenarios.
  • Kalshi's rules do not state an expiry or deadline. Its end date is 2027-07-07, versus Polymarket's 2027-05-25 end date and June 30 fallback. This does not matter if the ECF participants are set by late May.
  • Kalshi uses the season label '2026-27 Pro Basketball' and city names, while Polymarket uses '2027 NBA Playoffs' and full team names. These refer to the same teams and edition.
  • Trading closes May 25, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jul 7, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Detroit Pistons
  • New York Knicks
  • Philadelphia 76ers

Live prices for Detroit Pistons

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Qualifiers". Detroit Pistons leads at 42%. Next is New York Knicks at 41.3%. $9K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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