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What the markets expect
Jacksonville: #4 seed or better 90.5%
Next is Cincinnati: #6 seed or better at 75%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jacksonville: #4 seed or better90.5%90.5%86¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 3 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Jacksonville: #4 seed or better90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Jacksonville: #4 seed or better
90.5%
90.5%
86¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Jacksonville: #4 seed or better
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacksonville: #4 seed or better
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Cincinnati: #6 seed or better75%75%73¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 3 min ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Cincinnati: #6 seed or better75%Kalshi 75%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Cincinnati: #6 seed or better
75%
75%
73¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Cincinnati: #6 seed or better
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $23
Chicago: #6 seed or better74%74%74¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 3 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Chicago: #6 seed or better74%Kalshi 74%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Chicago: #6 seed or better
74%
74%
74¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Chicago: #6 seed or better
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $12
Denver: #5 seed or better73%73%64¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 3 min ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Denver: #5 seed or better73%Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Denver: #5 seed or better
73%
73%
64¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Denver: #5 seed or better
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver: #5 seed or better
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $54
San Francisco: #2 seed or better72%72%72¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 3 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)San Francisco: #2 seed or better72%Kalshi 72%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
San Francisco: #2 seed or better
72%
72%
72¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
San Francisco: #2 seed or better
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $128
Detroit: #6 seed or better60.5%60.5%56¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 3 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Detroit: #6 seed or better60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Detroit: #6 seed or better
60.5%
60.5%
56¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Detroit: #6 seed or better
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
New York G: #6 seed or better59.5%59.5%55¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 3 min ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)New York G: #6 seed or better59.5%Kalshi 59.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
New York G: #6 seed or better
59.5%
59.5%
55¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
New York G: #6 seed or better
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Pittsburgh: #6 seed or better56%56%56¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 3 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Pittsburgh: #6 seed or better56%Kalshi 56%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Pittsburgh: #6 seed or better
56%
56%
56¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Pittsburgh: #6 seed or better
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $42
Buffalo: #2 seed or better53%53%53¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 3 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Buffalo: #2 seed or better53%Kalshi 53%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Buffalo: #2 seed or better
53%
53%
53¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Buffalo: #2 seed or better
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Buffalo: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $18
New England: #5 seed or better50%50%44¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 3 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)New England: #5 seed or better50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
New England: #5 seed or better
50%
50%
44¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
New England: #5 seed or better
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New England: #5 seed or better
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
Tampa Bay: #6 seed or better40%40%31¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Tampa Bay: #6 seed or better40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Tampa Bay: #6 seed or better
40%
40%
31¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Tampa Bay: #6 seed or better
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $5
Green Bay: #6 seed or better33.5%33.5%29¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 3 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Green Bay: #6 seed or better33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Green Bay: #6 seed or better
33.5%
33.5%
29¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Green Bay: #6 seed or better
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Green Bay: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Seattle: #6 seed or better33.5%33.5%29¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 3 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Seattle: #6 seed or better33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Seattle: #6 seed or better
33.5%
33.5%
29¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Seattle: #6 seed or better
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Carolina: #4 seed or better29.5%29.5%25¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 3 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Carolina: #4 seed or better29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Carolina: #4 seed or better
29.5%
29.5%
25¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Carolina: #4 seed or better
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carolina: #4 seed or better
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Minnesota: #3 seed or better28%28%19¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 3 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Minnesota: #3 seed or better28%Kalshi 28%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Minnesota: #3 seed or better
28%
28%
19¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Minnesota: #3 seed or better
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota: #3 seed or better
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $20
Atlanta: #6 seed or better27%27%18¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Atlanta: #6 seed or better27%Kalshi 27%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Atlanta: #6 seed or better
27%
27%
18¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Atlanta: #6 seed or better
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $61
Kansas City: #2 seed or better26%26%18¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 3 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Kansas City: #2 seed or better26%Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kansas City: #2 seed or better
26%
26%
18¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kansas City: #2 seed or better
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $10
Los Angeles R: #5 seed or better26%26%18¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Los Angeles R: #5 seed or better26%Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Los Angeles R: #5 seed or better
26%
26%
18¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Los Angeles R: #5 seed or better
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles R: #5 seed or better
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $203
Cleveland: #6 seed or better22%22%13¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 3 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Cleveland: #6 seed or better22%Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Cleveland: #6 seed or better
22%
22%
13¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Cleveland: #6 seed or better
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $144
Houston: #6 seed or better19%19%15¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Houston: #6 seed or better19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Houston: #6 seed or better
19%
19%
15¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Houston: #6 seed or better
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
New Orleans: #6 seed or better18%18%9¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)New Orleans: #6 seed or better18%Kalshi 18%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
New Orleans: #6 seed or better
18%
18%
9¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
New Orleans: #6 seed or better
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $4
Dallas: #3 seed or better16%16%8¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Dallas: #3 seed or better16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Dallas: #3 seed or better
16%
16%
8¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Dallas: #3 seed or better
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas: #3 seed or better
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $10
Washington: #6 seed or better16%16%10¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 3 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Washington: #6 seed or better16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Washington: #6 seed or better
16%
16%
10¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Washington: #6 seed or better
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $26
Las Vegas: #6 seed or better10.5%10.5%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Las Vegas: #6 seed or better10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Las Vegas: #6 seed or better
10.5%
10.5%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Las Vegas: #6 seed or better
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Las Vegas: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Philadelphia: #6 seed or better3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Philadelphia: #6 seed or better3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Philadelphia: #6 seed or better
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Philadelphia: #6 seed or better
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Arizona: #6 seed or better3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Arizona: #6 seed or better3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Arizona: #6 seed or better
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Arizona: #6 seed or better
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Baltimore: #3 seed or better2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Baltimore: #3 seed or better2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Baltimore: #3 seed or better
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Baltimore: #3 seed or better
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore: #3 seed or better
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Indianapolis: #6 seed or better2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Indianapolis: #6 seed or better2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Indianapolis: #6 seed or better
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Indianapolis: #6 seed or better
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indianapolis: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Los Angeles C: #6 seed or better2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Los Angeles C: #6 seed or better2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Los Angeles C: #6 seed or better
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Los Angeles C: #6 seed or better
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami: #6 seed or better2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Miami: #6 seed or better2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami: #6 seed or better
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami: #6 seed or better
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
New York J: #6 seed or better2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)New York J: #6 seed or better2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New York J: #6 seed or better
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New York J: #6 seed or better
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York J: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Tennessee: #6 seed or better2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Tennessee: #6 seed or better2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tennessee: #6 seed or better
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tennessee: #6 seed or better
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tennessee: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jacksonville: #4 seed or better
- Cincinnati: #6 seed or better
- Chicago: #6 seed or better
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Playoff Seed Over/Unders". Jacksonville: #4 seed or better leads at 90.5%. Next is Cincinnati: #6 seed or better at 75%. $2K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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