The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Week 10: Most Passing Yards

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 15 days
Traded
$78K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Joe Burrow 73%

Next is 2,999.5+ passing yards at 69%. The venues differ most on Jared Goff (Polymarket 82.6%, Kalshi 1%), a 82-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 25 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Joe Burrow
73%
Polymarket 88%polled, 22s agoKalshi 28%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$411
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 46¢ and selling on Polymarket at 86¢ nets 4000 bps before fees.

2,999.5+ passing yards
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,999.5+ passing yards
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
3,249.5+ passing yards
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,249.5+ passing yards
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Purdy
62.8%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 49%polled, 22s agoKalshi 29%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$820
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 76¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 90¢.

Jared Goff
62.2%
Polymarket 82.6%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
82.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.8¢
Sell Yes
75.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 75.4¢ nets 7440 bps before fees.

Patrick Mahomes
61.3%
Polymarket 65%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Matthew Stafford
61%
Polymarket 84%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 51.5%polled, 22s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 79¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.

Dak Prescott
60%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 51%polled, 22s agoKalshi 10%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$929
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 72¢ and selling on Polymarket at 84¢ nets 1200 bps before fees.

C.J. Stroud
59%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 88¢ nets 8700 bps before fees.

Jordan Love
58.3%
Polymarket 91%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 89¢ nets 8800 bps before fees.

Show 31 more outcomes
Caleb Williams
51.5%
Polymarket 52%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Allen
50.4%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 51.5%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$931
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 57¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

Bryce Young
49.9%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 49.5%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 64¢ nets 6300 bps before fees.

Deshaun Watson
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 98.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
49.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
Carson Beck
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carson Beck
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Carson Wentz
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carson Wentz
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence
46%
Polymarket 64%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 6%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 34¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 80¢.

Bo Nix
42.3%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Darnold
39.2%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
3,499.5+ passing yards
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,499.5+ passing yards
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyler Shough
35.8%
Polymarket 71%polled, 22s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 59¢ nets 5800 bps before fees.

Drake Maye
35%
Polymarket 45%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 49%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 27¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.

Justin Herbert
35%
Polymarket 30%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Kirk Cousins
31%
Polymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 12%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Baker Mayfield
28.5%
Polymarket 7%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$581
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamar Jackson
26.2%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Rodgers
25.5%
Polymarket 47%polled, 22s agoKalshi 4%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Geno Smith
25.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Daniel Jones
25.3%
Polymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Michael Penix Jr.
25.3%
Polymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jayden Daniels
21.5%
Polymarket 14%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.2¢
Sell Yes
8.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$521 (5.21x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 8.7¢ nets 770 bps before fees.

3,749.5+ passing yards
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,749.5+ passing yards
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Polymarket
Cameron Ward
14.9%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 25.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 20.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $488 (4.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20.5¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$488 (4.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$507
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Hurts
14.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik Willis
14.2%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 49.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyler Murray
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacoby Brissett
10.8%
Polymarket 15%polled, 22s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

3,999.5+ passing yards
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,999.5+ passing yards
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$986
Trade this on Polymarket
Fernando Mendoza
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson Dart
1.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 22s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cameron Ward
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Indicative gap, prices are 25 min old: Jordan Love asks 1¢ on Kalshi and bids 89¢ on Polymarket (8800 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Joe Burrow
  • 2,999.5+ passing yards
  • 3,249.5+ passing yards

Live prices for Joe Burrow

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Week 10: Most Passing Yards". Joe Burrow leads at 73%. Next is 2,999.5+ passing yards at 69%. $78K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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