The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Week 10: Most Receiving Yards

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 15 days
Traded
$187K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Luther Burden III 70%

Next is Christian Watson at 69.5%. The venues differ most on Christian Watson (Polymarket 90%, Kalshi 8%), a 82-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 25 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Luther Burden III
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luther Burden III
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian Watson
69.5%
Polymarket 90%polled, 45s agoKalshi 8%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 89¢ nets 8100 bps before fees.

Tetairoa McMillan
63.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 72¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
54.4%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 55.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 8%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$449
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 97.5¢ nets 8950 bps before fees.

Tee Higgins
50%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 13.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 27¢ and selling on Polymarket at 84¢ nets 5700 bps before fees.

924.5+ receiving yards
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
924.5+ receiving yards
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Adonai Mitchell
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adonai Mitchell
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Isaiah Likely
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Isaiah Likely
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tucker Kraft
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tucker Kraft
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brenton Strange
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brenton Strange
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 67 more outcomes
Caleb Douglas
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Douglas
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dalton Kincaid
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dalton Kincaid
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Denzel Boston
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denzel Boston
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Harold Fannin Jr.
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harold Fannin Jr.
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Keon Coleman
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keon Coleman
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Khalil Shakir
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khalil Shakir
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Washington
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Washington
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Omar Cooper Jr.
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omar Cooper Jr.
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Kelce
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Kelce
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Warren
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Warren
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wan'Dale Robinson
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wan'Dale Robinson
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Olave
46.7%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 3.2%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 89¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.

1,124.5+ receiving yards
45.2%
Polymarket 45.2%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 87.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,124.5+ receiving yards
Last price
45.2%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
87.7¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake London
45.1%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 1.3%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake London
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Drake London
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake London
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 84¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.

George Pickens
45%
Polymarket 59%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 2.8%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$478
Trade this on Polymarket
Garrett Wilson
44.9%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$419
Trade this on Polymarket
Parker Washington
44.3%
Polymarket 41%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Washington
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Parker Washington
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 18¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.

Ja'Marr Chase
40.3%
Polymarket 83%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 45s agoKalshi 10%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

Rome Odunze
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rome Odunze
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik Nabers
39.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 45s agoKalshi 1%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 75¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.

Justin Jefferson
38.7%
Polymarket 77%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 0.7%polled, 45s agoKalshi 7%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 70¢ nets 6100 bps before fees.

CeeDee Lamb
37.5%
Polymarket 94%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 7.6%polled, 45s agoKalshi 6%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 11.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $870 (8.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.5¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$870 (8.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 29¢ and selling on Polymarket at 93¢ nets 6400 bps before fees.

Amon-Ra St. Brown
35.6%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 8%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 7300 bps before fees.

DJ Moore
29.8%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 94¢.

Nico Collins
29.3%
Polymarket 39.3%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 1%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
39.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67.7¢
Sell Yes
10.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$148 (1.48x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$659
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.

Jakobi Meyers
28.8%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 47%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jakobi Meyers
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$747
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jakobi Meyers
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 94¢.

T.J. Hockenson
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
T.J. Hockenson
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jameson Williams
24%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 13¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Zay Flowers
22.4%
Polymarket 52%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 2.8%polled, 45s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Carnell Tate
22.2%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 0.2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$259
Trade this on Polymarket
Courtland Sutton
21.9%
Polymarket 21.9%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 43.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $231 (2.31x)
Polymarket
Contract
Courtland Sutton
Last price
21.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$231 (2.31x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
724.5+ receiving yards
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
724.5+ receiving yards
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Evans
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Davante Adams
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ladd McConkey
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rashee Rice
13.9%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 0.4%polled, 45s agoKalshi 4%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 15¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 78¢.

DK Metcalf
13.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 13¢ and selling on Polymarket at 19¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Chris Godwin
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Godwin
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Downs
10.6%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Downs
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Downs
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 25¢.

DeVonta Smith
9.8%
Polymarket 10%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 9.4%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 16.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $617 (6.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Devonta Smith
Last price
9.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.2¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$617 (6.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Puka Nacua
7.7%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 0.8%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hunter Henry
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hunter Henry
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam LaPorta
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam LaPorta
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stefon Diggs
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefon Diggs
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Demarcus Robinson
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Demarcus Robinson
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
George Kittle
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
George Kittle
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Germie Bernard
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germie Bernard
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaylen Waddle
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Polymarket
Pat Freiermuth
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pat Freiermuth
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Flournoy
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Flournoy
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Golden
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Golden
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Marvin Harrison Jr.
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$609
Trade this on Polymarket
Tre Tucker
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tre Tucker
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
Emeka Egbuka
4.6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 0.3%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$284
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Coker
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Coker
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Keenan Allen
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keenan Allen
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Kalshi
Marvin Harrison Jr.
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Pittman Jr.
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Bowers
3.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 45s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Bowers
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$524
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Bowers
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

A.J. Brown
3.5%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 45s agoPolymarket 1.3%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$632
Trade this on Polymarket
Trey McBride
3.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 45s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 25 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trey McBride
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trey McBride
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 25 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

Brian Thomas Jr.
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Thomas Jr.
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$588
Trade this on Polymarket
1,524.5+ receiving yards
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,524.5+ receiving yards
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$491
Trade this on Polymarket
1,324.5+ receiving yards
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,324.5+ receiving yards
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$668
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Wilson
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Wilson
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Terry McLaurin
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
KC Concepcion
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
KC Concepcion
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordyn Tyson
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordyn Tyson
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$259
Trade this on Polymarket

Indicative gap, prices are 25 min old: Jaxon Smith-Njigba asks 8¢ on Kalshi and bids 97.5¢ on Polymarket (8950 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: polymarket.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Luther Burden III
  • Christian Watson
  • Tetairoa McMillan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Luther Burden III for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Week 10: Most Receiving Yards". Luther Burden III leads at 70%. Next is Christian Watson at 69.5%. $187K has traded across 77 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets