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Luther Burden III 70%
Next is Christian Watson at 69.5%. The venues differ most on Christian Watson (Polymarket 90%, Kalshi 8%), a 82-point gap.
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 25 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 89¢ nets 8100 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 72¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 97.5¢ nets 8950 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 27¢ and selling on Polymarket at 84¢ nets 5700 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 89¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 84¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 18¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 75¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 70¢ nets 6100 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 29¢ and selling on Polymarket at 93¢ nets 6400 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 7300 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 94¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 95¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 94¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 13¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 900 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 15¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 78¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 13¢ and selling on Polymarket at 19¢ nets 600 bps before fees.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 25¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.
Indicative gap, prices are 25 min old: Jaxon Smith-Njigba asks 8¢ on Kalshi and bids 97.5¢ on Polymarket (8950 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
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Kalshi doesn’t list Luther Burden III for this event.
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Week 10: Most Receiving Yards". Luther Burden III leads at 70%. Next is Christian Watson at 69.5%. $187K has traded across 77 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.