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What the markets expect
Iowa wins by over 1.5 points 88.5%
Next is Iowa wins by over 2.5 points at 86.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Iowa wins by over 1.5 points88.5%88.5%86¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 7 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Iowa wins by over 1.5 points88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Iowa wins by over 1.5 points
88.5%
88.5%
86¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Iowa wins by over 1.5 points
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Iowa wins by over 2.5 points86.5%86.5%84¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 7 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Iowa wins by over 2.5 points86.5%Kalshi 86.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Iowa wins by over 2.5 points
86.5%
86.5%
84¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Iowa wins by over 2.5 points
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Iowa wins by over 3.5 points83%83%81¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 7 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Iowa wins by over 3.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Iowa wins by over 3.5 points
83%
83%
81¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Iowa wins by over 3.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Iowa wins by over 4.5 points79.5%79.5%77¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 7 min ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Iowa wins by over 4.5 points79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Iowa wins by over 4.5 points
79.5%
79.5%
77¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Iowa wins by over 4.5 points
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Iowa wins by over 5.5 points79.5%79.5%77¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 7 min ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Iowa wins by over 5.5 points79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Iowa wins by over 5.5 points
79.5%
79.5%
77¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Iowa wins by over 5.5 points
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Iowa wins by over 6.5 points79%79%74¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 7 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Iowa wins by over 6.5 points79%Kalshi 79%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Iowa wins by over 6.5 points
79%
79%
74¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Iowa wins by over 6.5 points
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $62
Iowa wins by over 7.5 points72%72%69¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 7 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Iowa wins by over 7.5 points72%Kalshi 72%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Iowa wins by over 7.5 points
72%
72%
69¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Iowa wins by over 7.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Iowa wins by over 9.5 points68.5%68.5%66¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 7 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Iowa wins by over 9.5 points68.5%Kalshi 68.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Iowa wins by over 9.5 points
68.5%
68.5%
66¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Iowa wins by over 9.5 points
68.5%
Kalshi 68.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 68.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Iowa wins by over 10.5 points64.5%64.5%62¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 7 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Iowa wins by over 10.5 points64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Iowa wins by over 10.5 points
64.5%
64.5%
62¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Iowa wins by over 10.5 points
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Iowa wins by over 11.5 points63%63%60¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 7 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Iowa wins by over 11.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Iowa wins by over 11.5 points
63%
63%
60¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Iowa wins by over 11.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Show 17 more outcomesHide 17 outcomes
Iowa wins by over 13.5 points59%59%57¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 7 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Iowa wins by over 13.5 points59%Kalshi 59%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Iowa wins by over 13.5 points
59%
59%
57¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Iowa wins by over 13.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Iowa wins by over 14.5 points54.5%54.5%53¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 7 min ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Iowa wins by over 14.5 points54.5%Kalshi 54.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Iowa wins by over 14.5 points
54.5%
54.5%
53¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Iowa wins by over 14.5 points
54.5%
Kalshi 54.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Iowa wins by over 16.5 points53%53%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 7 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Iowa wins by over 16.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Iowa wins by over 16.5 points
53%
53%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Iowa wins by over 16.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $483
Iowa wins by over 17.5 points49%49%47¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 7 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Iowa wins by over 17.5 points49%Kalshi 49%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Iowa wins by over 17.5 points
49%
49%
47¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Iowa wins by over 17.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $655
Iowa wins by over 20.5 points39%39%39¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 7 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Iowa wins by over 20.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Iowa wins by over 20.5 points
39%
39%
39¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Iowa wins by over 20.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $24
Iowa wins by over 21.5 points36.5%36.5%35¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 7 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Iowa wins by over 21.5 points36.5%Kalshi 36.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Iowa wins by over 21.5 points
36.5%
36.5%
35¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Iowa wins by over 21.5 points
36.5%
Kalshi 36.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Iowa wins by over 23.5 points32.5%32.5%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 7 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Iowa wins by over 23.5 points32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Iowa wins by over 23.5 points
32.5%
32.5%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Iowa wins by over 23.5 points
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Iowa wins by over 24.5 points29.5%29.5%27¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 7 min ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Iowa wins by over 24.5 points29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Iowa wins by over 24.5 points
29.5%
29.5%
27¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Iowa wins by over 24.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Iowa wins by over 27.5 points23.5%23.5%21¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 7 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Iowa wins by over 27.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Iowa wins by over 27.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
21¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Iowa wins by over 27.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Iowa wins by over 30.5 points17.5%17.5%15¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 7 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Iowa wins by over 30.5 points17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Iowa wins by over 30.5 points
17.5%
17.5%
15¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Iowa wins by over 30.5 points
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Iowa wins by over 33.5 points12%12%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 7 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Iowa wins by over 33.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Iowa wins by over 33.5 points
12%
12%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Iowa wins by over 33.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 33.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Purdue wins by over 1.5 points9.5%9.5%7¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 7 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Purdue wins by over 1.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Purdue wins by over 1.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
7¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Purdue wins by over 1.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Iowa wins by over 35.5 points9%9%7¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 7 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Iowa wins by over 35.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Iowa wins by over 35.5 points
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Iowa wins by over 35.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa wins by over 35.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Purdue wins by over 2.5 points8.5%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 7 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Purdue wins by over 2.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Purdue wins by over 2.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Purdue wins by over 2.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Purdue wins by over 3.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 7 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Purdue wins by over 3.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Purdue wins by over 3.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Purdue wins by over 3.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Purdue wins by over 4.5 points5%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 7 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Purdue wins by over 4.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Purdue wins by over 4.5 points
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Purdue wins by over 4.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Purdue wins by over 5.5 points4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 7 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Purdue wins by over 5.5 points4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Purdue wins by over 5.5 points
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Purdue wins by over 5.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Iowa wins by over 1.5 points
- Iowa wins by over 2.5 points
- Iowa wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Purdue vs Iowa: Spread". Iowa wins by over 1.5 points leads at 88.5%. Next is Iowa wins by over 2.5 points at 86.5%. $1K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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