The Prediction Markets

Ranji Trophy: Gujarat vs Kerala - Team Top Batter

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$12K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Draw 33.4%

Next is GUJ at 33.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Draw 33.4%GUJ 33.3%KER 33.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Draw
33.4%
Polymarket 50%(33.3% fair)polled, 2 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Draw
Last price
50%
Fair, margin removed
33.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
85¢
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
GUJ
33.3%
Polymarket 50%(33.3% fair)polled, 2 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
GUJ
Last price
50%
Fair, margin removed
33.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
KER
33.3%
Polymarket 50%(33.3% fair)polled, 2 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
KER
Last price
50%
Fair, margin removed
33.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bcci.tv

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Draw
  • GUJ
  • KER

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ranji Trophy: Gujarat vs Kerala - Team Top Batter". Draw leads at 33.4%. Next is GUJ at 33.3%. $12K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

In the upcoming Ranji Trophy cricket match between Gujarat and Kerala, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total. The outcome corresponding to Gujarat will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Gujarat. The outcome corresponding to Kerala will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Kerala. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw. The market will resolve according to which team's player records the highest individual run total regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions). DLS/DRS adjustments and any other on-field rulings affecting batting statistics are treated as ordinary data. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve Draw. If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded, the market will resolve Draw.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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