The Prediction Markets

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score

Starts in 4 daysKickoff
Traded
$38K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Real Sociedad 56%

Next is Tie at 23%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Real Sociedad
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
21.8%
Polymarket 21.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 43.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $229 (2.29x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
21.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
43.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$229 (2.29x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Any Other Score
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vallecano
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vallecano
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$157
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
19.2%
Polymarket 19.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 38.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $260 (2.60x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
19.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
38.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$260 (2.60x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 30 more outcomes
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
5.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 5 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: laliga.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Real Sociedad
  • Tie
  • Real Sociedad de Fútbol 5 - 4 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Real Sociedad for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score". Real Sociedad leads at 56%. Next is Tie at 23%. $38K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2026.

In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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