The Prediction Markets

Rincon vs De la Fuente

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$338K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Daniel Rincon 61%

Next is Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente at 56.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Daniel Rincon
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rincon
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$230K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente Match O/U 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Santiago De La Fuente (-1.5) vs Daniel Rincon (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente Game Spread +/-2.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente Match O/U 23.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 49s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Santiago De la Fuente
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Santiago De la Fuente
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$101K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Daniel Rincon
  • Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
  • Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Daniel Rincon for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Rincon vs De la Fuente". Daniel Rincon leads at 61%. Next is Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente at 56.5%. $338K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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