The Prediction Markets

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz

Starts in 4 h 12 minKickoff
Traded
$49K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz 58.5%

Next is Completed Match at 52%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-4.5
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
  • Completed Match
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz". Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz leads at 58.5%. Next is Completed Match at 52%. $49K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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