Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Arch Manning 48%
Next is Sam Leavitt at 43%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Arch Manning48%48%1¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 h ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Arch Manning48%Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Arch Manning
48%
48%
1¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Arch Manning
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arch Manning
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $95
Sam Leavitt43%43%1¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 1 h ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Sam Leavitt43%Kalshi 43%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Sam Leavitt
43%
43%
1¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Sam Leavitt
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Leavitt
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $124
Aaron Philo33%33%— bid, 66¢ askpolled, 1 h ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Aaron Philo33%Kalshi 33%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Aaron Philo
33%
33%
— bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Aaron Philo
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Philo
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Byrum Brown23%23%— bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Byrum Brown23%Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Byrum Brown
23%
23%
— bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Byrum Brown
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Byrum Brown
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $1
Gunner Stockton23%23%1¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Gunner Stockton23%Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Gunner Stockton
23%
23%
1¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Gunner Stockton
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunner Stockton
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $64
John Mateer22.5%22.5%— bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 h ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)John Mateer22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
John Mateer
22.5%
22.5%
— bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
John Mateer
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Mateer
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Austin Simmons20%20%— bid, 62¢ askpolled, 1 h ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Austin Simmons20%Kalshi 20%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Austin Simmons
20%
20%
— bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Austin Simmons
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Simmons
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $274
LaNorris Sellers15%15%— bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)LaNorris Sellers15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
LaNorris Sellers
15%
15%
— bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
LaNorris Sellers
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LaNorris Sellers
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Marcel Reed10%10%— bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 h ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Marcel Reed10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Marcel Reed
10%
10%
— bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Marcel Reed
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcel Reed
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Trinidad Chambliss10%10%10¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 1 h ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Trinidad Chambliss10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Trinidad Chambliss
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Trinidad Chambliss
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trinidad Chambliss
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $379
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
Tristan Ti'a10%10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Tristan Ti'a10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tristan Ti'a
10%
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tristan Ti'a
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tristan Ti'a
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $94
Blaze Berlowitz9%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Blaze Berlowitz9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Blaze Berlowitz
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Blaze Berlowitz
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Blaze Berlowitz
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Kenny Minchey9%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Kenny Minchey9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kenny Minchey
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kenny Minchey
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenny Minchey
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
KJ Jackson8.5%8.5%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)KJ Jackson8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
KJ Jackson
8.5%
8.5%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
KJ Jackson
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- KJ Jackson
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Austin Mack5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Austin Mack5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Austin Mack
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Austin Mack
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Mack
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
AJ Swann5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)AJ Swann5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
AJ Swann
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
AJ Swann
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Swann
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Landen Clark5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Landen Clark5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Landen Clark
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Landen Clark
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Landen Clark
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
MJ Morris5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)MJ Morris5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
MJ Morris
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
MJ Morris
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- MJ Morris
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Ryan Puglisi5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Ryan Puglisi5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ryan Puglisi
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ryan Puglisi
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Puglisi
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Ryan Staub5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Ryan Staub5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ryan Staub
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ryan Staub
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Staub
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kamario Taylor2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Kamario Taylor2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kamario Taylor
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kamario Taylor
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kamario Taylor
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $33
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Arch Manning
- Sam Leavitt
- Aaron Philo
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "SEC: Passing Yards Leader". Arch Manning leads at 48%. Next is Sam Leavitt at 43%. $1K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco14%$221.8M traded
- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli100%$205.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia22%$73.1M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionSan Antonio23%$59.0M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$40.2M traded
- College Football Heisman Trophy Winner?Jeremiah Smith35%$39.0M traded