The Prediction Markets

Silver Slugger: AL Designated Hitter

Closes
Dec 8, 2026, in 33 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Tie/Co-Winners 48.5%

Next is Joc Pederson at 45%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Tie/Co-Winners
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie/Co-Winners
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joc Pederson
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joc Pederson
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Kalshi
Yordan Alvarez
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yordan Alvarez
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yandy Díaz
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yandy Díaz
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$346
Trade this on Kalshi
Dominic Canzone
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominic Canzone
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Jorge Soler
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Soler
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tie/Co-Winners
  • Joc Pederson
  • Yordan Alvarez

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Silver Slugger: AL Designated Hitter". Tie/Co-Winners leads at 48.5%. Next is Joc Pederson at 45%. $3K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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