The Prediction Markets

SOL price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closes
Oct 22, 2026, within the hour
Traded
$7K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
31 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

68 or above 99.5%

Next is 69 or above at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 31 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
68 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
68 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
69 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
69 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
70 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
70 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
71 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
72 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
72 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
73 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
74 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
75 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
75 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
76 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
76 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
77 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
77 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 65 more outcomes
78 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
78 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
79 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
79 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
80 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
80 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
81 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
81 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
82 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
82 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
83 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
83 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
84 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
84 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
85 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
85 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
86 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
86 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
87 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
87 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
88 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
88 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
89 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
89 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
90 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
90 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
91 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
91 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
92 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
92 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
93 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
93 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
98 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
98 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
99 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
99 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
102 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
102 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$248
Trade this on Kalshi
95 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
95 or above
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Trade this on Kalshi
100 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
100 or above
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Trade this on Kalshi
101 or above
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
101 or above
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
93¢
Trade this on Kalshi
96 or above
92.5%
Kalshi 92.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
96 or above
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
85¢
Trade this on Kalshi
94 or above
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
94 or above
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
83¢
Trade this on Kalshi
97 or above
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 31 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
97 or above
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
82¢
Trade this on Kalshi
103 or above
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
103 or above
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$899
Trade this on Kalshi
104 or above
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
104 or above
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$472
Trade this on Kalshi
112 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
112 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
113 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
113 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
105 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
105 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
106 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
106 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
107 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
107 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$436
Trade this on Kalshi
108 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
108 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$921
Trade this on Kalshi
109 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
109 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$330
Trade this on Kalshi
110 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
110 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Kalshi
111 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
111 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
118 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
118 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
114 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
114 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
115 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
115 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
116 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
116 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
117 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
117 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
119 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
119 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
120 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
120 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
121 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
121 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
122 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
122 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
123 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
123 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
124 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
124 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
125 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
125 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
126 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
126 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
127 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
127 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
128 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
128 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
129 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
129 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
130 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
130 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
131 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
131 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
132 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
132 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
133 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
133 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
134 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
134 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
135 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
135 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
136 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
136 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
137 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
137 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
138 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
138 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
139 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
139 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
140 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
140 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
141 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
141 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
142 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
142 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 31 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 68 or above
  • 69 or above
  • 70 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "SOL price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 68 or above leads at 99.5%. Next is 69 or above at 99.5%. $7K has traded across 75 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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