The Prediction Markets

SOL price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closed
Oct 8, 2026
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
78 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
78 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
79 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
79 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
80 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
80 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
81 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
81 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
82 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
82 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
83 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
83 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
84 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
84 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
85 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
85 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
86 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
86 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
87 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
87 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 65 more outcomes
88 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
88 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
89 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
89 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
90 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
90 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
100 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
100 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$107
Trade this on Kalshi
91 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
91 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
92 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
92 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
93 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
93 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
95 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
95 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
96 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
96 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
97 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
97 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
98 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
98 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
101 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
101 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
102 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
102 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
104 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
104 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Trade this on Kalshi
94 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
94 or above
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Trade this on Kalshi
99 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
99 or above
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Trade this on Kalshi
103 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
103 or above
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Trade this on Kalshi
105 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
105 or above
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Trade this on Kalshi
106 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
106 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Trade this on Kalshi
107 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
107 or above
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Trade this on Kalshi
108 or above
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
108 or above
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
91¢
Trade this on Kalshi
109 or above
94.5%
Kalshi 94.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
109 or above
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
110 or above
93.5%
Kalshi 93.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
110 or above
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
111 or above
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
111 or above
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
112 or above
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
112 or above
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
113 or above
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
113 or above
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
114 or above
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
114 or above
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$824
Trade this on Kalshi
115 or above
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
115 or above
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$531
Trade this on Kalshi
116 or above
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
116 or above
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$711
Trade this on Kalshi
117 or above
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
117 or above
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$907
Trade this on Kalshi
118 or above
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
118 or above
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
119 or above
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
119 or above
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
120 or above
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
120 or above
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
121 or above
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
121 or above
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
122 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
122 or above
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
123 or above
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
123 or above
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
124 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
124 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
125 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
125 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
126 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
126 or above
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
127 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
127 or above
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
128 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
128 or above
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
132 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
132 or above
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
138 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
138 or above
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
139 or above
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
139 or above
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
129 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
129 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
130 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
130 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
131 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
131 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
133 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
133 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
134 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
134 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
135 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
135 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
136 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
136 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
137 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
137 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
140 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
140 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
141 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
141 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
142 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
142 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
143 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
143 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
144 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
144 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
145 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
145 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
146 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
146 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
147 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
147 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
148 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
148 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
149 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
149 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
150 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
150 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
151 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
151 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
152 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
152 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 78 or above
  • 79 or above
  • 80 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "SOL price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 78 or above last traded at 99.5%. Next is 79 or above at 99.5%. $5K has traded across 75 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 8, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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