The Prediction Markets

Solana above ___ on October 24?

Closes
Oct 24, 2026, in 1 day
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

90 99.7%

Next is 85 at 99.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
90
99.7%
Polymarket 99.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
90
Last price
99.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
99.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
85
99.2%
Polymarket 99.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
85
Last price
99.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
95
99.2%
Polymarket 99.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
95
Last price
99.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
80
99%
Polymarket 99%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
100
80.5%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 82.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $121 (1.21x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82.4¢
Sell Yes
78.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$121 (1.21x)
Volume
$979
Trade this on Polymarket
105
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
105
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
110
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
110
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
125
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
125
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
120
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
120
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
130
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
130
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
115
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
115
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 90
  • 85
  • 95

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Solana above ___ on October 24?". 90 leads at 99.7%. Next is 85 at 99.2%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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