The Prediction Markets

Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko

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Traded
$38K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko 55.5%

Next is Completed Match at 55%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 38s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Varvara Lepchenko
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Varvara Lepchenko
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Set 1 Winner
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Match O/U 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Match O/U 23.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polona Hercog
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Polona Hercog
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Game Spread +/-2.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Varvara Lepchenko (+1.5)
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Varvara Lepchenko (-1.5) vs Polona Hercog (+1.5)
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: wtatennis.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: WTA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
  • Completed Match
  • Varvara Lepchenko

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko". Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko leads at 55.5%. Next is Completed Match at 55%. $38K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Polona Hercog and Varvara Lepchenko in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Varvara Lepchenko. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Lepchenko' if Varvara Lepchenko advances against Polona Hercog. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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