The Prediction Markets

Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5 70%

Next is Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5 at 68%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 59s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 23.5
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
40¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 59s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
36¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
65%
Polymarket 65%polled, 59s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jason Jung (-1.5) vs Herman Hoeyeraal (+1.5)
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
30¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 59s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Herman Hoeyeraal (-1.5) vs Jason Jung (+1.5)
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
29¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Jung
50.8%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 59s agoKalshi 51%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Jung
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 50¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 51¢.

Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Set 1 Winner
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Herman Hoeyeraal
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Herman Hoeyeraal
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 59s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 21.5
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 22, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 29, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
  • Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5
  • Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal". Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5 leads at 70%. Next is Sydney: Jason Jung vs Herman Hoeyeraal Match O/U 22.5 at 68%. $4K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jason Jung and Herman Hoeyeraal in the Sydney, Australia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 9:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jason Jung' if Jason Jung advances against Herman Hoeyeraal. This market will resolve to 'Herman Hoeyeraal' if Herman Hoeyeraal advances against Jason Jung. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets