The Prediction Markets

Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller

Starts in 3 h 8 minKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5 64%

Next is Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 59.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 21.5
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexandre Muller
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexandre Muller
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 Winner
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Completed Match
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$780
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 Winner
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Broom
44.6%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 45%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Broom
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$74
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 44¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Alexandre Muller (-1.5) vs Charles Broom (+1.5)
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Charles Broom (-1.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+1.5)
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 12, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
  • Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5
  • Alexandre Muller

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller". Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5 leads at 64%. Next is Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 59.5%. $2K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Charles Broom and Alexandre Muller in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charles Broom' if Charles Broom advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Charles Broom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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