The Prediction Markets

Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat

Starts in 13 hKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat 61.5%

Next is Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat at 56.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 21.5
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 22.5
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 Winner
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jan Kumstat (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $253 (2.53x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39.6¢
Sell Yes
39.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$253 (2.53x)
Volume
$322
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Yuta Shimizu (-1.5) vs Jan Kumstat (+1.5)
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
  • Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
  • Completed Match

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat". Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat leads at 61.5%. Next is Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat at 56.5%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Jan Kumstat in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Jan Kumstat. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Yuta Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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