The Prediction Markets

Tampa Bay vs Chicago: Spread

Closes
Nov 11, 2026, in 6 days
Traded
$362K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 70%

Next is Chicago wins by over 2.5 points at 68%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$199
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$594
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 3.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 4.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$854
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 5.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 7.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$621
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 10.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 13.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$626
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 14.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 16.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$814
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 20.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$626
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 5.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$885
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$157
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 23.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 9.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 27.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$314K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 13.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay wins by over 14.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Chicago wins by over 1.5 points
  • Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
  • Chicago wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Tampa Bay vs Chicago: Spread". Chicago wins by over 1.5 points leads at 70%. Next is Chicago wins by over 2.5 points at 68%. $362K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets