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What the markets expect
Over 25.5 points 98%
Next is Over 28.5 points at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 25.5 points98%98%96¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 25.5 points98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 25.5 points
98%
98%
96¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 25.5 points
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 25.5 points
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $5
Over 28.5 points94%94%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 28.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 28.5 points
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 28.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 28.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $302K
Over 31.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 31.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 31.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 31.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 31.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $672
Over 34.5 points87%87%86¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 1 h ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 34.5 points87%Kalshi 87%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 34.5 points
87%
87%
86¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 34.5 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 34.5 points
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 37.5 points80%80%79¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 1 h ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 37.5 points80%Kalshi 80%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 37.5 points
80%
80%
79¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 37.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 37.5 points
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $387
Over 40.5 points73%73%73¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 1 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 40.5 points73%Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 40.5 points
73%
73%
73¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 40.5 points
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 40.5 points
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $100
Over 43.5 points64%64%64¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 1 h ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Over 43.5 points64%Kalshi 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 43.5 points
64%
64%
64¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 43.5 points
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 43.5 points
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 44.5 points59%59%59¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 1 h ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 44.5 points59%Kalshi 59%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 44.5 points
59%
59%
59¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 44.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 44.5 points
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $64
Over 45.5 points57%57%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 1 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Over 45.5 points57%Kalshi 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 45.5 points
57%
57%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 45.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 45.5 points
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $320
Over 46.5 points54%54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 h ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 46.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 46.5 points
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 46.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 46.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $10K
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Over 47.5 points52%52%50¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 h ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 47.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 47.5 points
52%
52%
50¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 47.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 47.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 48.5 points47%47%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 h ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Over 48.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 48.5 points
47%
47%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 48.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 48.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 49.5 points44%44%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 h ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 49.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 49.5 points
44%
44%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 49.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 49.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $566
Over 52.5 points35%35%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 52.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 52.5 points
35%
35%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 52.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 52.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $188
Over 55.5 points26%26%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 1 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 55.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 55.5 points
26%
26%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 55.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 55.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $197
Over 58.5 points20.5%20.5%19¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 58.5 points20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 58.5 points
20.5%
20.5%
19¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 58.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 58.5 points
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Over 61.5 points15%15%13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 61.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 61.5 points
15%
15%
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 61.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 61.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 64.5 points9%9%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 64.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 64.5 points
9%
9%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 64.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 64.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $529
Over 67.5 points6%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 67.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 67.5 points
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 67.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 67.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 25.5 points
- Over 28.5 points
- Over 31.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Tampa Bay vs Chicago: Total Points". Over 25.5 points leads at 98%. Next is Over 28.5 points at 94%. $323K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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