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What the markets expect
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff 70.5%
Next is Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games at 60%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 21.5”70.5%70.5%42¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff70.5%Polymarket 70.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 21.5”
70.5%
70.5%
42¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games60%Not listed60%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 1 h ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games60%Kalshi 60%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games
60%
Not listed
60%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $13
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 Winner”57%57%51¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed63¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff57%Polymarket 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 Winner”
57%
57%
51¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
63¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 Winner
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $26
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 22.5”52.5%52.5%8¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 22.5”
52.5%
52.5%
8¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $7K
Completed Match50%50%2¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askCompleted Match50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Completed Match
50%
50%
2¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Completed Match
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Completed Match
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 10.5”50%50%35¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 10.5”
50%
50%
35¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 10.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5”50%50%7¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5”
50%
50%
7¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $4
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 10.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 10.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 10.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 9.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 9.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 9.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 8.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 1 h agoNot listedNo askRolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 8.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
No ask
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 8.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 23.5”48.5%48.5%45¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff48.5%Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 23.5”
48.5%
48.5%
45¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $31
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff47.5%47.5%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff47.5%Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
47.5%
47.5%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $50K
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 2.5”40%40%30¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff40%Polymarket 40%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 2.5”
40%
40%
30¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 Winner”37.5%37.5%34¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff37.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 Winner”
37.5%
37.5%
34¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 Winner
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard StruffPolymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.5”25.5%25.5%20¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff25.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Polymarket: “Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.5”
25.5%
25.5%
20¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $105
Jan-Lennard Struff -2.5 games17%Not listed17%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Jan-Lennard Struff -2.5 games17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jan-Lennard Struff -2.5 games
17%
Not listed
17%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jan-Lennard Struff -2.5 games
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jan-Lennard Struff -2.5 games
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $7K
Jan-Lennard Struff -5.5 games4%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jan-Lennard Struff -5.5 games4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jan-Lennard Struff -5.5 games
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jan-Lennard Struff -5.5 games
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jan-Lennard Struff -5.5 games
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $57
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, ATP
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
- Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games
- Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Game Spread". Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff leads at 70.5%. Next is Thiago Agustin Tirante -1.5 games at 60%. $65K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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