The Prediction Markets

Titled Tuesday Winner: November 10

Starts in 15 hKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Hikaru Nakamura 19.5%

Next is Magnus Carlsen at 13.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Hikaru Nakamura
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hikaru Nakamura
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
Magnus Carlsen
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 26.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $372 (3.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Magnus Carlsen
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$372 (3.72x)
Volume
$601
Trade this on Polymarket
Aleksei Sarana
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aleksei Sarana
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Sina Movahed
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sina Movahed
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Polymarket
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parham Maghsoodloo
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Denis Lazavik
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denis Lazavik
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dmitry Andreikin
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dmitry Andreikin
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nihal Sarin
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nihal Sarin
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jose Martinez
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jose Martinez
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jules Moussard
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jules Moussard
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 56 more outcomes
Javokhir Sindarov
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Javokhir Sindarov
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Tuan Minh
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Tuan Minh
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arjun Erigaisi
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arjun Erigaisi
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vincent Keymer
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vincent Keymer
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Haik Martirosyan
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Haik Martirosyan
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Hans Niemann
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hans Niemann
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alireza Firouzja
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alireza Firouzja
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$74
Trade this on Polymarket
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fabiano Caruana
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fabiano Caruana
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ian Nepomniachtchi
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeffery Xiong
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeffery Xiong
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Awonder Liang
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Awonder Liang
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Christopher Yoo
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christopher Yoo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Haowen Xue
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Haowen Xue
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Levon Aronian
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levon Aronian
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nikolas Theodorou
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nikolas Theodorou
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pranav Venkatesh
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pranav Venkatesh
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Sevian
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Sevian
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vladislav Artemiev
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vladislav Artemiev
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Aravindh Chithambaram
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aravindh Chithambaram
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dau Khuong Duy
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dau Khuong Duy
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexander Grischuk
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Grischuk
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oleksandr Bortnyk
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oleksandr Bortnyk
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pranesh Munirethinam
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pranesh Munirethinam
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gukesh Dommaraju
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gukesh Dommaraju
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Aleksandar Indjic
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aleksandar Indjic
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Aleksandr Shimanov
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aleksandr Shimanov
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Tang
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Tang
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrey Esipenko
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrey Esipenko
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bardiya Daneshvar
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bardiya Daneshvar
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Benjamin Bok
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Benjamin Bok
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Brandon Jacobson
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Jacobson
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
David Anton
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Anton
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dincer Tasdogen
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dincer Tasdogen
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ding Liren
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ding Liren
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Faustino Oro
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Faustino Oro
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Frederik Svane
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederik Svane
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matthias Bluebaum
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthias Bluebaum
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rasmus Svane
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rasmus Svane
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Renato Terry Lujan
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Renato Terry Lujan
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rudik Makarian
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rudik Makarian
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sergey Sklokin
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergey Sklokin
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Vladimir Fedoseev
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vladimir Fedoseev
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Volen Dyulgerov
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Volen Dyulgerov
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Wei Yi
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wei Yi
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Wesley So
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wesley So
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tuomas Turunen
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tuomas Turunen
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: chess.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Hikaru Nakamura
  • Magnus Carlsen
  • Aleksei Sarana

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 10". Hikaru Nakamura leads at 19.5%. Next is Magnus Carlsen at 13.5%. $2K has traded across 66 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on November 10, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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