The Prediction Markets

Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys: Set 1 Winner

Starts in 2 h 13 minKickoff
Traded
$99K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys 75%

Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys at 75%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
50¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
50¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$93K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tommy Paul
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Paul
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.5
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$946
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.5
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Polymarket
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Quentin Halys
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quentin Halys
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys: Set 1 Winner". Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys leads at 75%. Next is Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys at 75%. $99K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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