The Prediction Markets

Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAO

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 22 days
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

1M 97.3%

Next is 5M at 82.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
1M
97.3%
Polymarket 97.3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
1M
Last price
97.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
95.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
5M
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
5M
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
10M
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
10M
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
20M
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
20M
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
30M
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
30M
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$375
Trade this on Polymarket
40M
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
40M
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: metadao.fi

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1M
  • 5M
  • 10M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAO". 1M leads at 97.3%. Next is 5M at 82.5%. $9K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Mori Finance raise on MetaDAO exceed the value specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the "committed" figure displayed on the official Mori Finance raise page on MetaDAO, currently https://metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance. Commitments in USDC are counted at face value as US dollars. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before the raise closes and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" once the raise closes or on November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. A value exactly equal to the specified value will resolve to "No". If the figure on the raise page is unavailable, official announcements from MetaDAO (https://x.com/MetaDAOProject) or Mori Finance (https://x.com/morifinance_) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period through November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward resolution.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAO Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets