The Prediction Markets

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)

Closed
Mar 22, 2026
Traded
$608K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 22, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 216 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance?
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5188 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$484
Trade this on Polymarket
Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5188 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$604K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 0.5 Rounds
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5188 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5188 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5188 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO?
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5188 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5188 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$293
Trade this on Polymarket
Jones to win by KO/TKO?
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5188 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jones to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Polymarket
Sola to win by KO/TKO?
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5188 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sola to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 216 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$138
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Fight to Go the Distance?
  • Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)". Fight to Go the Distance? last traded at 100%. Next is Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola at 100%. $608K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Mason Jones" if Mason Jones is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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