Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points 84%
Next is New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points at 83%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points84%84%81¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, just now87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points84%Kalshi 84%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points
84%
84%
81¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, just now
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points83%83%81¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, just now85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points
83%
83%
81¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, just now
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points78%78%75¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, just now81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points
78%
78%
75¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, just now
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points76%76%73¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, just now79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points76%Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points
76%
76%
73¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, just now
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
New Mexico wins by over 5.5 points74%74%71¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, just now77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)New Mexico wins by over 5.5 points74%Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
New Mexico wins by over 5.5 points
74%
74%
71¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, just now
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
New Mexico wins by over 5.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points72%72%69¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, just now75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points72%Kalshi 72%polled, just nowBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points
72%
72%
69¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, just now
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, just nowBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points66.5%66.5%64¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, just now69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points66.5%Kalshi 66.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points
66.5%
66.5%
64¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, just now
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points
66.5%
Kalshi 66.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points62.5%62.5%60¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, just now65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points
62.5%
62.5%
60¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, just now
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
New Mexico wins by over 11.5 points60%60%55¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, just now60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)New Mexico wins by over 11.5 points60%Kalshi 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
New Mexico wins by over 11.5 points
60%
60%
55¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, just now
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
New Mexico wins by over 11.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $8
New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points58.5%58.5%56¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, just now61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points58.5%Kalshi 58.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points
58.5%
58.5%
56¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, just now
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points53%53%53¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, just now56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points
53%
53%
53¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, just now
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $230
New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, just now49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, just nowBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, just now
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, just nowBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
New Mexico wins by over 16.5 points47%47%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, just now48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)New Mexico wins by over 16.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
New Mexico wins by over 16.5 points
47%
47%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, just now
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
New Mexico wins by over 16.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points40.5%40.5%38¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, just now43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points
40.5%
40.5%
38¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, just now
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points33.5%33.5%31¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points
33.5%
33.5%
31¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
New Mexico wins by over 21.5 points30%30%28¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, just now32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)New Mexico wins by over 21.5 points30%Kalshi 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
New Mexico wins by over 21.5 points
30%
30%
28¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, just now
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
New Mexico wins by over 21.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points26.5%26.5%24¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, just now29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points
26.5%
26.5%
24¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, just now
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
New Mexico wins by over 24.5 points21%21%21¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, just now26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)New Mexico wins by over 24.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
New Mexico wins by over 24.5 points
21%
21%
21¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, just now
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
New Mexico wins by over 24.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $1
New Mexico wins by over 27.5 points19%19%16¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)New Mexico wins by over 27.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
New Mexico wins by over 27.5 points
19%
19%
16¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
New Mexico wins by over 27.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
UNLV wins by over 1.5 points13.5%13.5%11¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)UNLV wins by over 1.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
UNLV wins by over 1.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
11¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
UNLV wins by over 1.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
UNLV wins by over 2.5 points12.5%12.5%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)UNLV wins by over 2.5 points12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
UNLV wins by over 2.5 points
12.5%
12.5%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
UNLV wins by over 2.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
New Mexico wins by over 30.5 points11%11%11¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)New Mexico wins by over 30.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
New Mexico wins by over 30.5 points
11%
11%
11¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
New Mexico wins by over 30.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Mexico wins by over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $1
UNLV wins by over 3.5 points10%10%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)UNLV wins by over 3.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
UNLV wins by over 3.5 points
10%
10%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
UNLV wins by over 3.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
UNLV wins by over 4.5 points8%8%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)UNLV wins by over 4.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
UNLV wins by over 4.5 points
8%
8%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
UNLV wins by over 4.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
UNLV wins by over 13.5 points6.5%6.5%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)UNLV wins by over 13.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
UNLV wins by over 13.5 points
6.5%
6.5%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
UNLV wins by over 13.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
UNLV wins by over 5.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)UNLV wins by over 5.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
UNLV wins by over 5.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
UNLV wins by over 5.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
UNLV wins by over 6.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)UNLV wins by over 6.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
UNLV wins by over 6.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
UNLV wins by over 6.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
UNLV wins by over 7.5 points4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)UNLV wins by over 7.5 points4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
UNLV wins by over 7.5 points
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
UNLV wins by over 7.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
UNLV wins by over 9.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)UNLV wins by over 9.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
UNLV wins by over 9.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
UNLV wins by over 9.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
UNLV wins by over 10.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)UNLV wins by over 10.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
UNLV wins by over 10.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
UNLV wins by over 10.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
UNLV wins by over 11.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)UNLV wins by over 11.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
UNLV wins by over 11.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
UNLV wins by over 11.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNLV wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points
- New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points
- New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "UNLV vs New Mexico: Spread". New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points leads at 84%. Next is New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points at 83%. $2K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco16%$231.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia29%$79.4M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionSan Antonio21%$62.2M traded
- MVP Winner?Joe Burrow28%$42.1M traded
- College Football Heisman Trophy Winner?Darian Mensah32%$42.0M traded
- F1 Constructors' ChampionMercedes100%$29.3M traded