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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 86.5%
Next is Ends before Round 5? at 74%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds86.5%86.5%82¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed91¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $110 (1.10x)O/U 0.5 Rounds86.5%Polymarket 86.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
86.5%
86.5%
82¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
91¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Ends before Round 5?74%74%71¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed77¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Ends before Round 5?74%Polymarket 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Ends before Round 5?
74%
74%
71¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
77¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Ends before Round 5?
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 5?
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?67%67%63¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed71¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Fight won by KO/TKO?67%Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
67%
67%
63¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
71¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $34
O/U 1.5 Rounds66.5%66.5%65¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed68¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $147 (1.47x)O/U 1.5 Rounds66.5%Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
66.5%
66.5%
65¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
68¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $454
Ends before Round 4?64%64%61¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Ends before Round 4?64%Polymarket 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Ends before Round 4?
64%
64%
61¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Ends before Round 4?
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 4?
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO?48.5%48.5%45¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO?48.5%Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO?
48.5%
48.5%
45¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO?
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ends before Round 3?48%48%45¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Ends before Round 3?48%Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Ends before Round 3?
48%
48%
45¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Ends before Round 3?
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $4
O/U 2.5 Rounds43.5%43.5%40¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)O/U 2.5 Rounds43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
43.5%
43.5%
40¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta33.5%33.5%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta
33.5%
33.5%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $19K
O/U 3.5 Rounds31.5%31.5%27¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)O/U 3.5 Rounds31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
31.5%
31.5%
27¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
O/U 4.5 Rounds25.5%25.5%21¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)O/U 4.5 Rounds25.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
25.5%
25.5%
21¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Ends before Round 2?25%25%22¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Ends before Round 2?25%Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 2?
25%
25%
22¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ends before Round 2?
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Decision or Draw23.5%23.5%19¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Decision or Draw23.5%Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Decision or Draw
23.5%
23.5%
19¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Decision or Draw
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $107
Fight won by decision?23.5%23.5%19¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Fight won by decision?23.5%Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Fight won by decision?
23.5%
23.5%
19¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Fight won by decision?
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Fight goes the distancePolymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Fight goes the distance23%Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight goes the distance
Polymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight goes the distance
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $68
Fight goes the distance22%Not listed22%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Fight goes the distance22%Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Fight goes the distance
22%
Not listed
22%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Fight goes the distance
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight goes the distance
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $1K
Walker to win by KO/TKO?18.5%18.5%15¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Walker to win by KO/TKO?18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Walker to win by KO/TKO?
18.5%
18.5%
15¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Walker to win by KO/TKO?
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 117.5%17.5%13¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Cortes Acosta in Round 117.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 1
17.5%
17.5%
13¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 1
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cortes Acosta in Round 1
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 215.5%15.5%11¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Cortes Acosta in Round 215.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 2
15.5%
15.5%
11¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 2
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cortes Acosta in Round 2
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 310.5%10.5%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Cortes Acosta in Round 310.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 3
10.5%
10.5%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 3
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cortes Acosta in Round 3
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Fight won by submission?10%10%6¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Fight won by submission?10%Polymarket 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fight won by submission?
10%
10%
6¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fight won by submission?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Walker in Round 18.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Walker in Round 18.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Walker in Round 1
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Walker in Round 1
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker in Round 1
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Walker in Round 27%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Walker in Round 27%Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Walker in Round 2
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Walker in Round 2
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker in Round 2
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 46%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cortes Acosta in Round 46%Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 4
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 4
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cortes Acosta in Round 4
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Walker in Round 36%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Walker in Round 36%Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Walker in Round 3
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Walker in Round 3
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Walker in Round 44.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Walker in Round 44.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Walker in Round 4
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Walker in Round 4
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker in Round 4
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 54%4%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cortes Acosta in Round 54%Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 5
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cortes Acosta in Round 5
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cortes Acosta in Round 5
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Walker in Round 53.1%3.1%0.1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Walker in Round 53.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Walker in Round 5
3.1%
3.1%
0.1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Walker in Round 5
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Walker in Round 5
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 5?
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Johnny Walker: Go the Distance". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 86.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 74%. $23K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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