The Prediction Markets

Western Conference #2 Seed

Closes
Jul 8, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

San Antonio 18%

Next is Houston at 16.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

San Antonio 18%Houston 16.5%Oklahoma City 13.5%Portland 11.3%Denver 6.8%10 others 33.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
San Antonio
18%
Kalshi 24%(18% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio
Last price
24%
Fair, margin removed
18%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
16.5%
Kalshi 22%(16.5% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
22%
Fair, margin removed
16.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma City
13.5%
Kalshi 18%(13.5% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma City
Last price
18%
Fair, margin removed
13.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland
11.3%
Kalshi 15%(11.3% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland
Last price
15%
Fair, margin removed
11.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$435
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver
6.8%
Kalshi 9%(6.8% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$506
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles L
6.8%
Kalshi 9%(6.8% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles L
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
6.8%
Kalshi 9%(6.8% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
9%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$515
Trade this on Kalshi
Memphis
4.5%
Kalshi 6%(4.5% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Memphis
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
Dallas
3%
Kalshi 4%(3% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
New Orleans
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Phoenix
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State
1.9%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.9% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
2.5%
Fair, margin removed
1.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
1.9%
Kalshi 2.5%(1.9% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
2.5%
Fair, margin removed
1.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • San Antonio
  • Houston
  • Oklahoma City

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Western Conference #2 Seed". San Antonio leads at 18%. Next is Houston at 16.5%. $4K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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