This market has closed
Trading ended on May 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 195 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
April 1614%14%5¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)April 1614%Polymarket 14%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
- Contract
- April 16
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $19
April 1513.5%13.5%6¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago21¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $476 (4.76x)April 1513.5%Polymarket 13.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
- Contract
- April 15
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $19
April 2913%13%8¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)April 2913%Polymarket 13%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
- Contract
- April 29
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $38
April 1712.5%12.5%5¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)April 1712.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
- Contract
- April 17
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $19
April 2312.5%12.5%8¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)April 2312.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
- Contract
- April 23
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $22
April 2412.5%12.5%8¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)April 2412.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
- Contract
- April 24
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $19
April 3012.5%12.5%7¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)April 3012.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
- Contract
- April 30
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $1K
April 2710%10%6¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)April 2710%Polymarket 10%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
- Contract
- April 27
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $13
April 149%9%5¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)April 149%Polymarket 9%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
- Contract
- April 14
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $111
No token launch by April 308.6%8.6%4.6¢ bid, 12.6¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago12.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $794 (7.94x)No token launch by April 308.6%Polymarket 8.6%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 12.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $794 (7.94x)
- Contract
- No token launch by April 30
- Last price
- 8.6%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $794 (7.94x)
- Volume
- $96
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
April 288%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)April 288%Polymarket 8%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
- Contract
- April 28
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $13
April 217.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)April 217.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
- Contract
- April 21
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $94
April 227.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)April 227.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
- Contract
- April 22
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $92
April 257%7%1¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)April 257%Polymarket 7%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
- Contract
- April 25
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $19
April 267%7%1¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)April 267%Polymarket 7%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
- Contract
- April 26
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $19
April 206.5%6.5%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)April 206.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
- Contract
- April 20
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $138
April 136.1%6.1%2.3¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)April 136.1%Polymarket 6.1%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
- Contract
- April 13
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $685
April 185.1%5.1%1.3¢ bid, 8.9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago8.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)April 185.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
- Contract
- April 18
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,124 (11.2x)
- Volume
- $17
April 195%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)April 195%Polymarket 5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
- Contract
- April 19
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $19
April 124.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)April 124.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
- Contract
- April 12
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
April 113.6%3.6%0.3¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)April 113.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
- Contract
- April 11
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
April 103%3%— bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 4703 h ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)April 103%Polymarket 3%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
- Contract
- April 10
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- April 16
- April 15
- April 29
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What day will the USD.AI token launch be?". April 16 last traded at 14%. Next is April 15 at 13.5%. $20K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which USD.AI launches its token. Only an official token launched by USD.AI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from USD.AI (https://usd.ai/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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