The Prediction Markets

What price will Bitcoin hit April 27-May 3?

Closed
May 4, 2026
Traded
$526K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 176 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
74,000
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
74,000
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$80K
Trade this on Polymarket
72,000
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
72,000
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$77K
Trade this on Polymarket
70,000
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
70,000
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$89K
Trade this on Polymarket
82,000
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
82,000
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$82K
Trade this on Polymarket
68,000
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
68,000
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
66,000
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
66,000
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Polymarket
86,000
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
86,000
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
88,000
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
88,000
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Polymarket
84,000
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
84,000
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Polymarket
90,000
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
90,000
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
92,000
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
92,000
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
94,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4236 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
94,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 74,000
  • 72,000
  • 70,000

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What price will Bitcoin hit April 27-May 3?". 74,000 last traded at 19.5%. Next is 72,000 at 4.5%. $526K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 4, 2026.

What price will Bitcoin hit April 27-May 3?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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