The Prediction Markets

What price will Bitcoin hit April 6-12?

Closed
Apr 13, 2026
Traded
$1.6M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
74,000
72%
Polymarket 62%(72% fair)polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
74,000
Last price
62%
Fair, margin removed
72%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$211K
Trade this on Polymarket
76,000
15.1%
Polymarket 13%(15.1% fair)polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
76,000
Last price
13%
Fair, margin removed
15.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$146K
Trade this on Polymarket
78,000
4.1%
Polymarket 3.5%(4.1% fair)polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
78,000
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$130K
Trade this on Polymarket
66,000
2.5%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
66,000
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$189K
Trade this on Polymarket
80,000
1.9%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
80,000
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$113K
Trade this on Polymarket
64,000
1.4%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
64,000
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$145K
Trade this on Polymarket
62,000
1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
62,000
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$107K
Trade this on Polymarket
82,000
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
82,000
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$80K
Trade this on Polymarket
60,000
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
60,000
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$115K
Trade this on Polymarket
58,000
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
58,000
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Polymarket
84,000
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
84,000
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$123K
Trade this on Polymarket
56,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
56,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$78K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 74,000
  • 76,000
  • 78,000

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What price will Bitcoin hit April 6-12?". 74,000 last traded at 72%. Next is 76,000 at 15.1%. $1.6M has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 13, 2026.

What price will Bitcoin hit April 6-12?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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