This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 11, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
74,00012.5%12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)74,00012.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
- Contract
- 74,000
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $39K
75,0004.6%4.6%4.4¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)75,0004.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
- Contract
- 75,000
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $35K
71,0001.8%1.8%1.1¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago2.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)71,0001.8%Polymarket 1.8%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
- Contract
- 71,000
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
- Volume
- $16K
70,0001.6%1.6%0.5¢ bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago2.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)70,0001.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
- Contract
- 70,000
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
- Volume
- $31K
76,0000.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)76,0000.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
- Contract
- 76,000
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $21K
68,0000.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)68,0000.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
- Contract
- 68,000
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $18K
69,0000.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)69,0000.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
- Contract
- 69,000
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $22K
66,0000.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)66,0000.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- 66,000
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $10K
77,0000.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)77,0000.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- 77,000
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $13K
64,0000.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)64,0000.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- 64,000
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $5K
Show 4 more outcomesHide 4 outcomes
65,0000.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)65,0000.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
- Contract
- 65,000
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $11K
67,0000.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)67,0000.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- 67,000
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $13K
78,0000.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)78,0000.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- 78,000
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $11K
79,0000.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4710 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)79,0000.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4710 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- 79,000
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $10K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 74,000
- 75,000
- 71,000
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What price will Bitcoin hit on April 10?". 74,000 last traded at 12.5%. Next is 75,000 at 4.6%. $385K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 11, 2026.
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 10?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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