The Prediction Markets

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 23?

Closed
Mar 24, 2026
Traded
$1.4M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 24, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 213 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
61,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
61,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Polymarket
62,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
62,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$70K
Trade this on Polymarket
63,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
63,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$93K
Trade this on Polymarket
64,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
64,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$73K
Trade this on Polymarket
65,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
65,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Polymarket
66,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
66,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Polymarket
67,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
67,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$77K
Trade this on Polymarket
72,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
72,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$175K
Trade this on Polymarket
73,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
73,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$158K
Trade this on Polymarket
74,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
74,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$109K
Trade this on Polymarket
75,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
75,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Polymarket
76,000
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5130 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
76,000
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 213 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$64K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 61,000
  • 62,000
  • 63,000

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What price will Bitcoin hit on March 23?". 61,000 last traded at 0.1%. Next is 62,000 at 0.1%. $1.4M has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 24, 2026.

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 23?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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