The Prediction Markets

What price will Chainlink hit in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 18 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

12 51%

Next is 14 at 47%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
12
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
12
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
14
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
14
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
8
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
8
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
16
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
16
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
18
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
18
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
20
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
20
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Polymarket
4
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
4
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
6
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
6
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Polymarket
22
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $877 (8.77x)
Polymarket
Contract
22
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$877 (8.77x)
Volume
$291
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 12
  • 14
  • 8

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will Chainlink hit in November?". 12 leads at 51%. Next is 14 at 47%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What price will Chainlink hit in November?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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