The Prediction Markets

What price will Ethereum hit on October 22?

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 8 hours
Traded
$12.3M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

2,350 30.1%

Next is 2,250 to 2,499.99 at 17.9%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
2,350
30.1%
Polymarket 30.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,350
Last price
30.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
27.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,250 to 2,499.99
17.9%
Kalshi 17.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 17.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $559 (5.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,250 to 2,499.99
Last price
17.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
17.9¢
Sell Yes
17.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$559 (5.59x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,500 to 2,749.99
17.2%
Kalshi 17.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 17.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $581 (5.81x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,500 to 2,749.99
Last price
17.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
17.2¢
Sell Yes
16.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$581 (5.81x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,000 to 2,249.99
15.7%
Kalshi 15.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $637 (6.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,000 to 2,249.99
Last price
15.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15.7¢
Sell Yes
15.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$637 (6.37x)
Volume
$1.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,750 to 2,999.99
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,750 to 2,999.99
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
12.2¢
Sell Yes
11.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$820 (8.20x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,450
11.9%
Polymarket 11.9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $694 (6.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,450
Last price
11.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14.4¢
Sell Yes
9.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$694 (6.94x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
3,000 to 3,249.99
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,000 to 3,249.99
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
8.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
1,750 to 1,999.99
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,750 to 1,999.99
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,300
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,300
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
4.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,500 to 1,749.99
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,500 to 1,749.99
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 21 more outcomes
5,000 or above
3.3%
Kalshi 3.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
5,000 or above
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$865K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,750 to 3,999.99
3.1%
Kalshi 3.1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,750 to 3,999.99
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,250 to 3,499.99
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,250 to 3,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$120K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,500
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,500
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$973
Trade this on Polymarket
2,250
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,250
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
3,500 to 3,749.99
2.2%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,500 to 3,749.99
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$70K
Trade this on Kalshi
999.99 or below
2.2%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
999.99 or below
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$999K
Trade this on Kalshi
1,250 to 1,499.99
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,250 to 1,499.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
1,000 to 1,249.99
1.3%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,000 to 1,249.99
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$955K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,200
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,200
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
4,000 to 4,249.99
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,000 to 4,249.99
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,600
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,600
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
4,250 to 4,499.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,250 to 4,499.99
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
4,500 to 4,749.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,500 to 4,749.99
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,550
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,550
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,100
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,100
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
2,150
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,150
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Polymarket
2,650
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,650
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Polymarket
2,700
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,700
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Trade this on Polymarket
2,750
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,750
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$138
Trade this on Polymarket
4,750 to 4,999.99
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,750 to 4,999.99
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 2,350
  • 2,250 to 2,499.99
  • 2,500 to 2,749.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 2,350 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will Ethereum hit on October 22?". 2,350 leads at 30.1%. Next is 2,250 to 2,499.99 at 17.9%. $12.3M has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What price will Ethereum hit on October 22?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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