Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
84 100%
Next is 80 at 71.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 26 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
84100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 26 h agoNo ask84100%Polymarket 100%polled, 26 h ago
84
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 26 h ago
No ask
84
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 26 h ago
8071.5%71.5%44¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 26 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)8071.5%Polymarket 71.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
80
71.5%
71.5%
44¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
80
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 80
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
7651.5%51.5%16¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 26 h ago87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)7651.5%Polymarket 51.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
76
51.5%
51.5%
16¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
76
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 76
- Last price
- 51.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
8850.5%50.5%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 26 h agoNo ask8850.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26 h ago
88
50.5%
50.5%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 26 h ago
No ask
88
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26 h ago
9250.5%50.5%15¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 26 h ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)9250.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
92
50.5%
50.5%
15¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
92
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 92
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
7248%48%13¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 26 h ago83¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $120 (1.20x)7248%Polymarket 48%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
72
48%
48%
13¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
83¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
72
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 72
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $200
9641%41%9¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 26 h ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)9641%Polymarket 41%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
96
41%
41%
9¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
96
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 96
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
10037.5%37.5%16¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 26 h ago59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)10037.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
100
37.5%
37.5%
16¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
59¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
100
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 100
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $200
10432.5%32.5%11¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 26 h ago54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)10432.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
104
32.5%
32.5%
11¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
104
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 104
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $200
6826.5%26.5%8¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 26 h ago45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)6826.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
68
26.5%
26.5%
8¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
68
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 68
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $433
10825.5%25.5%4¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 26 h ago47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)10825.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
108
25.5%
25.5%
4¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
108
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 108
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $103
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 84
- 80
- 76
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What price will Hyperliquid hit in November?". 84 leads at 100%. Next is 80 at 71.5%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.
What price will Hyperliquid hit in November?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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