The Prediction Markets

What price will XRP hit in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 26 days
Traded
$151K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
22 min ago
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What the markets expect

1.4 61.7%

Next is 1.2 at 60.6%. The venues differ most on 1.4 (Polymarket 60%, Kalshi 67%), a 7.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 23 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
1.4
61.7%
Polymarket 60%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 67%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.40
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.40
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 22 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 61¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 62¢.

1.2
60.6%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 64%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.20
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1.20
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 23 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 58¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 61¢.

Above $1.50
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.50
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$610
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $1.10
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1.10
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
1.6
18.5%
Polymarket 17%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 23%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.60
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.60
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 22 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 19¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

Above $1.70
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.70
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Kalshi
1
11.3%
Polymarket 10%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.00
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1.00
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 23 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.

Above $1.90
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.90
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
1.8
8.3%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.80
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.80
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 22 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.9¢.

Below $0.90
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.90
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 12 more outcomes
2
4.1%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.00
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 22 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 4.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 180 bps before fees.

2.20
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.20
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.8
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.80
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.80
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 23 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

2.40
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.40
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Below $0.70
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.70
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2.80
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.80
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.6
1.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 22 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.60
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.60
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 23 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

2.60
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.60
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Below $0.50
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $0.50
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 23 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3.00
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.00
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.40
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.40
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$682
Trade this on Polymarket
0.20
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.20
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 22 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket

Indicative gap, prices are 22 min old: 2 asks 4.2¢ on Polymarket and bids 6¢ on Kalshi (180 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Dec 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1.4
  • 1.2
  • Above $1.50

Live prices for 1.4

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What price will XRP hit in November?". 1.4 leads at 61.7%. Next is 1.2 at 60.6%. $151K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What price will XRP hit in November?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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