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Trading ended on Jul 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Header94%94%83¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Header94%Kalshi 94%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Header
94%
94%
83¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Header
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Header
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $555
Visa93%93%93¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Visa93%Kalshi 93%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Visa
93%
93%
93¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Visa
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Visa
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $955
Turf / Pitch91%91%79¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Turf / Pitch91%Kalshi 91%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Turf / Pitch
91%
91%
79¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Turf / Pitch
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turf / Pitch
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $105
Captain90%90%87¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Captain90%Kalshi 90%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Captain
90%
90%
87¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Captain
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Captain
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $311
History82%82%76¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)History82%Kalshi 82%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
History
82%
82%
76¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
History
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- History
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $8
Messi82%82%57¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Messi82%Kalshi 82%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Messi
82%
82%
57¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Messi
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Messi
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $7
Record82%82%69¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Record82%Kalshi 82%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Record
82%
82%
69¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Record
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Record
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $9
Assist80%80%47¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Assist80%Kalshi 80%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Assist
80%
80%
47¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Assist
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Assist
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $64
Comeback / Come Back79%79%78¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Comeback / Come Back79%Kalshi 79%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Comeback / Come Back
79%
79%
78¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Comeback / Come Back
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Comeback / Come Back
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $117
Qatar65%65%48¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Qatar65%Kalshi 65%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Qatar
65%
65%
48¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Qatar
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qatar
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $466
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
Champion62%62%71¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Champion62%Kalshi 62%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Champion
62%
62%
71¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Champion
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Champion
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $221
Handball60%60%58¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Handball60%Kalshi 60%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Handball
60%
60%
58¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Handball
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Handball
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $50
Ronaldo58%58%41¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Ronaldo58%Kalshi 58%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Ronaldo
58%
58%
41¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Ronaldo
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ronaldo
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $25
Hattrick / Hat Trick50.5%50.5%25¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Hattrick / Hat Trick50.5%Kalshi 50.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Hattrick / Hat Trick
50.5%
50.5%
25¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Hattrick / Hat Trick
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hattrick / Hat Trick
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Own Goal46.5%46.5%20¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Own Goal46.5%Kalshi 46.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Own Goal
46.5%
46.5%
20¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Own Goal
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Own Goal
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Gianni / Infantino45.5%45.5%17¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Gianni / Infantino45.5%Kalshi 45.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Gianni / Infantino
45.5%
45.5%
17¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Gianni / Infantino
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gianni / Infantino
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Red Card44%44%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Red Card44%Kalshi 44%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Red Card
44%
44%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Red Card
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Red Card
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $85
Momentum35%35%28¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Momentum35%Kalshi 35%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Momentum
35%
35%
28¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Momentum
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Momentum
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $54
Penalty Shootout34%34%10¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Penalty Shootout34%Kalshi 34%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Penalty Shootout
34%
34%
10¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Penalty Shootout
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penalty Shootout
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $33
Nutmeg / Meg31%31%24¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Nutmeg / Meg31%Kalshi 31%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Nutmeg / Meg
31%
31%
24¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Nutmeg / Meg
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nutmeg / Meg
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $126
What a Save29%29%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)What a Save29%Kalshi 29%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
What a Save
29%
29%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
What a Save
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- What a Save
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $591
Shutout27%27%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Shutout27%Kalshi 27%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Shutout
27%
27%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Shutout
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shutout
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $3
Crossbar26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Crossbar26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Crossbar
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Crossbar
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Crossbar
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Soccer20%20%16¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Soccer20%Kalshi 20%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Soccer
20%
20%
16¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Soccer
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soccer
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $10
Powerade14%14%5¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Powerade14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Powerade
14%
14%
5¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Powerade
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Powerade
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $23
NRG Stadium4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)NRG Stadium4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NRG Stadium
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NRG Stadium
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- NRG Stadium
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Trump4%4%4¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Trump4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Trump
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Trump
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trump
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $38
Event does not qualify1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3020 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Event does not qualify1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Event does not qualify
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3020 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Event does not qualify
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3020 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Event does not qualify
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Header
- Visa
- Turf / Pitch
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will the announcers say during Netherlands vs Sweden". Header last traded at 94%. Next is Visa at 93%. $12K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 4, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More crypto markets
See all crypto markets- Bitcoin price at the end of 202680,000 to 84,999.9915.1%$42.9M traded
- When will Bitcoin hit $150k?by December 31, 202727.5%$27.3M traded
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes4.1%$24.4M traded
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?Above $2000001%$12.6M traded
- Ethereum price at the end of 20262,250 to 2,499.9917.9%$12.3M traded
- Bitcoin all time high by ___?December 31, 20264.7%$10.5M traded